Winnipeg Jets at Toronto Maple Leafs

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After splitting the first two games with 4-3 victories each, the Toronto Maple Leafs will play the Winnipeg Jets for the rubber game of this 3 game series. The Maple Leafs and Jets have both shown their talent and either game could have gone either way with these two rosters. Both the Jets and Maple Leafs have looked like two of the best teams in the North Division and either team can easily represent the division in the Stanley Cup Playoffs.

Jets offense is hard to stop

The Jets have won 16 of 26 games this season and have been led by an offense that is scoring 3.3 goals per game. The top line of Paul Stastny, Blake Wheeler, and Mark Scheifele have combined for 26 goals this season but the duo of Nikolaj Ehlers and Kyle Connor have combined for 25 goals to give the Jets plenty of offense from their second line. In addition, seven of the Jets skaters have 6 goals or more as part of a deep-scoring lineup.

The offense has done more than enough to carry its weight but the defense has also played well this season to give the Jets a complete team. The duo of Neal Pionk and Derek Forbort has been great this season, combining for 2.8 defensive point shares and 93 blocked shots with Pionk also contributing 19 assists on the offensive end. In addition, Connor Hellebuyck has been great in goal with a save percentage of .911 and allowing only 2.8 goals per game.

Maple Leafs offense is led by Matthews’ great play

Auston Matthews has made his case for being this season’s Hart Trophy winner as the best player in the game. Matthews has 21 goals this season including a game-winner in overtime against the Jets where Matthews slipped the puck by Hellebuyck on a breakaway to take the game. Matthews is having a career year as a goal scorer but Mitch Marner is also having a career year creating goal-scoring opportunities with 26 assists.

With the top line on the offense doing more than enough, the defense has also stepped up to give the Maple Leafs the best roster in the North Division. TJ Brodie and Morgan Reilly have been great on the top pairing, combining for 4.1 defensive point shares and 68 blocked shots while Jake Muzzin and Justin Holl have combined for 3.3 defensive point shares and 85 blocked shots. In addition, the Maple Leafs have gotten great play from their starting goaltender Fredrik Anderson, who has started 20 games in the net and allowed only 2.7 goals per game.

The Bottom Line
What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The final game between these two teams is going to be an exciting one, to say the least with the other two games being only one-goal games. However, the Jets should be able to control the final game of the series and give good odds in the process. The Jets’ offense can find scoring on every line and keep the Maple Leafs defense on their heels with Neal Pionk also making an impact from the point in this game. Speaking of Pionk, the Jets should be able to limit Matthews in this game with Pionk and Forbort constantly eliminating him at the blue line. The Jets should pull the upset and win this game.

Prediction:
Jets (+159)

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Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

The Jets and Maple Leafs have gone Over the total in the previous two games, indicating that the final game will be a low-scoring game with both defenses making adjustments to the style of play. However, the Jets can and will score in bunches with the depth of all their lines constantly keeping the Maple Leafs on their heels while Neal Pionk makes his mark from the point as well. In addition, the Maple Leafs should be able to find the back of the net a few times with Matthews, Marner and the rest of the Leafs’ offense still being too talented to contain for 60 minutes. The Over should once again cover with both offenses hitting their stride once again.

Prediction:
Over 6.5