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The Vegas Golden Knights and St Louis Blues will play their second consecutive game on Saturday night against one another in a West Division battle. This will be the third game that they will play against one another. The Vegas Golden Knight (16-6-1, 33 points) are leading the West Division but are riding a two-game losing streak after losing in Minnesota to the Wild 4-3 on Wednesday. The St Louis Blues (14-8-4, 32 points) are second in the West Division and are also on a two-game losing streak. They last played in San Jose against the Sharks on Monday but were able to get a point as they lost 3-2 in overtime.
These two franchises are very similar on the offensive side of the ice so it will be interesting to see which defense can step up and make some big plays. Let’s take a deeper dive into the numbers to decide where we should be placing our wagers. PUBLISHED BEFORE FIRST GAME
Written in Stone
The Vegas Golden Knights have been solid in the early stages of this season and one of the reasons is the play of right winger Mark Stone, who has been playing extremely well to begin the season. There are three players listed on the injury report so the Golden Knights are relatively healthy at this point. He is having a great start to the season and is tied for seventh in the league in assists as he has 28 points (six goals, 22 assists) this season and is red hot as he has recorded 11 points in their last five games played. In the last game against the Minnesota Wild, he had a great game as he finished with an assist and attempted just a single shot in 19:43 on the ice. Stone has shown the ability to be an elite passer and it’ll be time to see if Vegas can figure out a way to take advantage of a weaker goalie situation.
Marc-Andre Fleury and Robin Lehner have split time in the net this season for the Golden Knights and both are playing at an All-Star level. Logan Thompson should have to start in the goal after Fleury was put on the COVID protocols list. In the last game against the Minnesota Wild, he did not allow a goal on just two shots in 8:15 on the ice. There has been no announcement of who will be in the net for this upcoming game. Vegas has allowed 51 goals this season, which is first in the league. They have been very good against opposing power plays as they have killed 53-of-61 (86.89 percent) of them so far this season. The Blues are an average offense so this will be a chance for the Golden Knights to extend their divisional lead.
A Shot of Perron
The St Louis Blues have been solid in the early stages of this season and one of the reasons is the play of left winger David Perron, who has been playing extremely well to begin the season. There are a handful of players listed on the injury report so the Blues are trying to figure out how to get some chemistry on their lines. Perron is leading the team in points and assists as he has 28 points (10 goals, 18 assists) this season and has scored five points in his last three games played. In the last game against the San Jose Sharks, he finished with an assist on a pair of shots in 19:27 on the ice. Perron has shown the ability to be one of the best passers and it’ll be time to see if the Golden Knights can figure out a way to defend him as they are one of the best defensive teams in the entire league.
— St. Louis Blues (@StLouisBlues) March 13, 2021
Jordan Binnington has been the starting goaltender this season for the St Louis Blues and is doing a very solid job. Binnington struggled in his last game against the Los Angeles Kings by allowing four goals on 34 shots in an overtime loss to drop his record to 9-6-1 in his first 16 games. On the season, he has allowed 49 goals on 533 shot attempts. St Louis has allowed 82 goals this season, which is 20th in the league. They have been struggling against opposing power plays as they have killed 67-of-91 (73.63 percent) of them so far this season. The Golden Knights are a league-average offense so this will be a chance for the Blues to get back on track defensively.
- St Louis: 1-6 in their last 7 home games
- Vegas: 6-2 in their last 8 games
- Vegas: 13-3 in their last 16 games playing on 0 days rest
The Bottom Line
What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Goals against per game can tell us a lot with how these defenses have been playing this season. The Golden Knights are the best defense allowing 2.17 goals against per game while the Blues are 20th in the league with 3.08 goals against per game. Another huge number is penalty kill percentage as it’s a great way to score some goals. Vegas is third in the league at 86.9 kill percentage while St Louis is 27th in the league with a 73.6 kill percentage. Even though there is a huge question mark in the goal for the Vegas Golden Knights, I still expect them to pull off the win in this game to extend their West Division lead.
Want another opinion on this pick?
Full-Game Total Pick
These teams do not attempt a lot of shots per game as the Golden Knights are 16th in the NHL with 29.8 shots per game while the Blues are right there at 15th with 29.9 shots per game. Looking at the last few games for each team can tell us what we should expect. Vegas is averaging 4.3 total goals in their last three games while St Louis is averaging 5.5 goals in their last four games played. The under has hit in seven of the last nine Golden Knights road games while it also hit in five of the last seven Blues games against teams with a .600+ winning percentage. All in all, go with the UNDER here.