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The Ottawa Senators will remain at Rogers Place on Friday night to take on the Edmonton Oilers in a North Division battle. This is the seventh time that these teams will face off against one another this season as they last played on Wednesday where Edmonton dominated 7-1. Leon Draisaitl lead the game with three goals and two assists in that game. The Ottawa Senators (9-19-1, 19 points) are last in the North Division and are riding a two-game losing streak. The Edmonton Oilers (17-11-0, 34 points) are second in the North Division and are riding a three-game winning streak.
There is a bit of separation between these two teams and it will be interesting to see if Wednesday’s game will have any remaining effect here. Let’s take a deeper dive into Ottawa and Edmonton to decide where we should be placing our wagers.
Chabot Needs to Get Going
The Ottawa Senators have been dreadful in the early stages of this season and one of the bright spots is the play of defenseman Thomas Chabot, who has been playing well to begin the season. Marcus Hogberg and Derek Stepan are the only players listed on the injury report so the Senators are essentially as healthy as they will be this season. Chabot is ninth in the league for defenseman assists as he has 19 points (three goals, 16 assists) this season and scored four points in his last four games played. In his last game against the Edmonton Oilers, he finished without scoring any points and attempted just one shot in 23:28 on the ice. Chabot has shown the ability to be a good player but the Senators are a below-average offense going against a subpar defense in Edmonton.
Matt Murray has spent the majority of time inside the net this season and has been struggling. He got the nod in the goal in the last game against the Oilers and had his worst game as he allowed seven goals on 36 shots in a loss to drop his record to 7-12-1 so far this season. On the season, Murray has allowed 73 goals on 608 shot attempts. Ottawa has allowed 115 goals this season, which is last in the league. They have been struggling against opposing power plays as they have killed 75-of-95 (73.68 percent) of them so far this season. The Oilers are an incredible offense so this will be a difficult chance to improve here.
Best in the World
Edmonton has been starting to bounce back after struggling in the early stages of this season but one thing is for certain: center Connor McDavid has been playing extremely well to begin the season. The Oilers are dealing with a handful of injuries so it will be interesting to see some of the line changes. The 2015 first-round pick is leading the league in assists and points while being second in goals as he has 48 points (16 goals, 32 assists) this season and has been on fire as he recorded eight points in his last three games played. In his last game against the Ottawa Senators, he finished with a goal and a pair of assists and four shots on goal in 19:07 on the ice. McDavid has shown the ability to dominate a game and it should be interesting to see if he can score against this putrid Ottawa defense.
— Edmonton Oilers (@EdmontonOilers) March 11, 2021
Mikko Koskinen has been the goalie for the Edmonton Oilers throughout most of the season thus far but backup Mike Smith was in the net for the last game. In his last game against the Ottawa Senators, he allowed a goal on 22 shots in a win to raise his record to 8-2-0 this season and has a 2.18 goals against per game average. He is eighth in the NHL with a .927 save percentage so it might be time to make the switch in the net. As a team, they have allowed 83 total goals, which is 23rd in the league. This defense is the worst aspect of the Oilers and is a below-average defense against power plays. They kill 66-of-86 (76.74 percent) of penalties so if they can improve their defense, they will be in a better spot for the rest of the season.
- Edmonton: 14-5 in their last 19 games
- Edmonton: 12-3 in their last 15 games as a favorite
- Ottawa: 11-41 in their last 52 groad games
- Ottawa: 8-20 in their last 28 games
The Bottom Line
What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Looking at the defense puts this in perspective. The Senators are the worst in the NHL with 3.97 goals allowed per game while the Oilers are 16th in the NHL allowing 2.96 goals per game. The most basic way to look at this is who scores better. Ottawa is 25th in the league at scoring 2.59 goals per game this season while Edmonton is fifth with 3.32 goals per game this year. The Oilers have won the first six games against the Senators by an average of 2.5 goals so go with the Edmonton Oilers covering the puck line in this game.
Want another opinion on this pick?
Full-Game Total Pick
These two teams are not terrible in penalty killing, which is where a lot of the scoring can happen as there is a man advantage at that point. The Senators are ninth in the league with a 73.7 kill percentage while the Oilers are 12th in the league with a 76.7 kill percentage. Looking at the totals from the last handful of games is a great way to figure out where we should be leaning. Ottawa is averaging a tad over the current total with 6.8 total goals per game in the last five while Edmonton is averaging 5.6 total goals per game in the same span. The under is 6-2-1 in the last nine Senators games while it also hit in nine of the last 11 games where the Oilers are playing on one days rest. All in all, go with under 6.5 goals in this upcoming game.