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The Montreal Canadiens will travel to Rogers Place on Monday night to take on the Edmonton Oilers in a North Division matchup. This will be the fifth time they will face off this season as Montreal holds a 4-1 series lead, including winning 3-2 in overtime back on April 5. The Montreal Canadiens (19-14-9, 47 points) are fourth in the North Division. They are coming off a 4-0 shutout loss on Saturday against the Ottawa Senators. The Edmonton Oilers (26-15-2, 54 points) are third in the North Division. They are coming off a 3-0 shutout win over the Winnipeg Jets back on Saturday.
These defenses are very similar statistically so it will be interesting to see how these offenses will be able to get going against it. Let’s take a deeper dive into the matchup to decide where we should be placing our wagers.
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The Montreal Canadiens have been solid in the early stages of this season and one of the bright spots is the play of right-winger Tyler Toffoli, who has been playing extremely well to begin the season. Brendan Gallagher is the only player listed on the injury report so the Canadiens are essentially as healthy as they will be this season. Toffoli is leading the team in points and is tied for eighth in the league in goals as he has 32 points (21 goals, 11 assists) this season and scored two points in his last five games played. In the last game against the Ottawa Senators, he failed to score any points with two shots in 17:22 on the ice. Toffoli has shown the ability to be one of the best shooters and it’ll be time to see if the Oilers can figure out a way to defend him as they are an average defending team so far this season.
Carey Price and Jake Allen have split time in the net this season for the Canadiens and both have looked good so far. Allen got the nod in the goal in the last game against the Senators, he struggled and allowed three goals on 14 shots in a loss to bring his record to 12-7-5 so far this year. There has been no announcement of who will be in the net for this upcoming game but this could be the time for Allen to get the starting job officially. On the season, he has allowed 65 goals on 652 shot attempts. Montreal has allowed 119 goals this season, which is 11th in the league. They have been struggling against opposing power plays as they have killed 105-of-136 (77.21 percent) of them so far this season. The Oilers are a decent offense so this will be a chance for the Canadiens to get back on track defensively after a loss.
Best in the World
Edmonton has been starting to bounce back after struggling in the early stages of this season but one thing is for certain: center Connor McDavid has been playing extremely well to begin the season. The Oilers are dealing with a handful of injuries so it will be interesting to see some of the line changes. The 2015 first-round pick is leading the league in assists and points while being tied for fourth in goals as he has 71 points (23 goals, 48 assists) this season and has been on fire as he recorded seven points in his last four games played. In his last game against the Winnipeg Jets, he finished with a pair of assists on one shot on goal in 24:38 on the ice. McDavid has shown the ability to dominate a game and it should be interesting to see if he can score against this decent Montreal defense.
🔁 #Oilers roster moves 🔁
Ryan McLeod has been recalled to the taxi squad from the @Condors!
— Edmonton Oilers (@EdmontonOilers) April 18, 2021
Mike Smith has been the goalie for the Edmonton Oilers throughout most of the season thus far. In the last game against the Winnipeg Jets, he did not allow a goal on 26 shots in a win to bring his record to 15-4-2 this season and has a 2.36 goals against per game average. As a team, they have allowed 120 total goals, which is 12th in the league. This defense is the worst aspect of the Oilers and is a below-average defense against power plays. They kill 97-of-122 (79.51 percent) of penalties so if they can improve their defense, they will be in a better spot for the rest of the season.
- Edmonton: 7-0 in their last 7 games as a home favorite
- Edmonton: 4-1 in their last5 games playing on 1 days rest
- Montreal: 3-9 in their last 12 road games
- Montreal: 2-5 in their last 7 games
The Bottom Line
Full-Game Side Bet
Penalty kills are a crucial number to look at as not allowing goals when you are at a disadvantage puts your team in a great spot. The Canadiens are 22nd with a 77.2 penalty kill percentage while the Oilers are 16th with a 79.5 penalty kill percentage. Connor McDavid should play a huge factor here as Edmonton dominates at home while Montreal is brutal on the road. All in all, go with the Edmonton Oilers to win here.
Want another opinion on this pick?
Full-Game Total Pick
These teams are decent on the defensive side of the ice as Montreal is 19th with 2.76 goals allowed per game while Edmonton is 17th with 2.79 goals allowed per game. Both the Canadiens and Oilers are averaging 4.6 total goals per game in their last five games. All in all, go with the UNDER as the better play here as the defenses should step up.