San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks

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The NBA returns from the All-Star break with a pair of teams from the Southwest Division locking up in the Lone Star State. The San Antonio Spurs are on the road as they make the in-state trip to face the Dallas Mavericks Wednesday night. San Antonio fell 107-102 at home to Oklahoma City in their most recent contest Thursday night. Dallas dropped Oklahoma City 87-78 at home last Wednesday in their latest action. The Spurs own a 113-72 advantage in the all-time regular-season series between the teams but the Mavericks claimed a 122-117 road victory in the first matchup this season on January 22.

San Antonio Spurs Looking to Maintain Southwest Division Lead

San Antonio has alternated wins and losses in their last six games as they were knocked off at home by Oklahoma City in their final game before the All-Star break. The Spurs enter this game with a one-game lead over the Mavericks in the Southwest Division standings. In the Western Conference playoff picture, the team is seventh, five games clear of 11th-place New Orleans to remain on the right side of the cut line. Against Oklahoma City, San Antonio trailed by three after the opening quarter, led by as many as 11 in the second quarter and by 14 early in the third quarter before things fell apart. The Spurs led by six in the opening minute of the fourth quarter before giving up a 16-4 run that left them down six. San Antonio couldn’t get closer than two after that as they took the loss. The Spurs shot 47.1% from the field, including 10 of 31 from three-point range, but turned the ball over 19 times in the loss. DeMar DeRozan led San Antonio with 20 points in the loss.

The Spurs enter this contest 22nd in the league in scoring offense as they average 111 points per game on the year. San Antonio is 10th in rebounding with 45 boards per contest while they are 13th by handing out an average of 25.3 assists per contest. The Spurs are 10th in scoring defense by allowing 110.9 points a night this season. DeMar DeRozan leads the team with 20 points, 4.9 rebounds and 7.2 assists a game this season. Keldon Johnson puts up 14.1 points plus 6.7 boards a night while Dejounte Murray (15.8 points, seven rebounds, 5.4 assists), Lonnie Walker IV (11.3 points), Patty Mills (13.3 points), Rudy Gay (11.2 points) and LaMarcus Aldridge (13.7 points) are averaging in double figures. Derrick White (11.8 points, 3.9 assists), Jakob Poeltl, Tre Jones, Devin Vassell and Drew Eubanks are other pieces in Gregg Popovich’s rotation. San Antonio is 20th in field goal percentage by shooting 45.6% from the floor as a team on the season. The Spurs stand 25th by knocking down an average of 11.1 three-pointers a night while they are 16th in three-point shooting by connecting on 36.3% of their attempts from beyond the arc. Vassell was out due to health and safety protocols related to COVID-19.

Dallas Mavericks Try to Maintain Recent Charge

Dallas went into the All-Star break winners of three straight and nine of their last 11 to gain ground in the Southwest Division race. The Mavericks enter this game just one game behind the Spurs for the top spot in the division. In the Western Conference playoff picture, the team holds the eighth playoff spot, four games ahead of 11th-place New Orleans to remain on the right side of the playoff cut line. Against The Thunder, the Mavericks led by two after the opening quarter and by one with 3:23 to play in the half before closing on a 7-1 run to go up seven. Dallas led by three in the third quarter before going on an 18-2 run to take a 73-54 lead and didn’t look back. The Mavericks shot 38.6% from the floor despite going eight of 40 from three-point range and controlled the glass 53-45. Tim Hardaway Jr. and Kristaps Porzingis (13 rebounds) each had 19 points to lead Dallas in the win.

The Mavericks enter this contest 18th in the league in scoring offense with 111.8 points per game on the season. Dallas stands 24th in rebounding with 42.9 boards per game while they rank 26th in assists by dishing out 22.6 dimes per contest. The Mavericks are 18th in scoring defense as they allow an average of 112.3 points per game on the year. Luka Doncic leads the team with 28.6 points, 8.4 rebounds and nine assists per contest this season. Kristaps Porzingis contributes 20.2 points plus 8.4 rebounds per game while Tim Hardaway Jr. (16.4 points) is also a solid contributor on the offensive end. Maxi Kleber, Jalen Brunson (12.7 points), Trey Burke, Dorian Finney-Smith, Josh Richardson (12.8 points), James Johnson, Dwight Powell and Willie Cauley-Stein are key pieces in the Mavericks’ rotation. Dallas is 14th in field goal percentage as they shoot 46.5% as a team from beyond the arc. The Mavericks are 12th by knocking down 13.1 three-pointers per contest on the year. Dallas stands 25th in three-point shooting as they hit 35% from beyond the arc this season.

The Bottom Line
What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

These teams headed in different directions going into the All-Star break as the Mavericks were one of the hottest teams heading into the pause while San Antonio was up and down. Both teams are relatively healthy at this point after the Spurs were missing several key players heading into the break due to health and safety protocols. The Mavericks should have Doncic back after he missed the team’s last game against the Thunder, though he did play in the All-Star Game. Dallas has been on a roll at home of late and you have to give them the advantage in this one as they extend their recent hot stretch.

Prediction:
Dallas Mavericks -4

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Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

San Antonio stands 14th in the league in tempo with 100 possessions a night. The Spurs are in the middle of the pack on both ends of the floor despite their accelerated tempo. Dallas is 17th in pace with 98.8 possessions a game. The Mavericks have improved slightly defensively but they are still leaky on that end of the floor. Meanwhile, Dallas is still a middle of the pack attack offensively despite a solid rotation. We saw the teams combine for 239 points in the first meeting and with both rotations near full strength at this point in time, you have to think that this one ends up going over the total.

Prediction:
Over 226