Sacramento Kings vs Philadelphia 76ers

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

The Philadelphia 76ers host the Sacramento Kings Saturday night at Wells Fargo Arena in the City of Brotherly Love beginning at 8 pm EST. Currently, the 76ers are favored by 7-points for the contest, up from 2.5-points at the opening, while the total stands at 233.5-points, down from 236.

The Kings dominated in every way on the road versus the Boston Celtics Friday night shooting 46% from the field along with 40% from long-range for 12 3-pointers, with Buddy Hield leading the way connecting on 6 of 13 attempts ending with 22 points. D’Aaron Fox, however, led the way with 29 points on 11-20 shooting as Sacramento evened their record .500 on their current road trip. The team was also able to cover as 7-point underdogs and have been red-hot against the spread as of late going 4-2 in their last 6, overall.

The 76ers halted a 6-game win streak in their last outing at home versus the Milwaukee Bucks Wednesday night as they relinquished a 14-point halftime lead only to be outscored 62-28 in the 2nd-half while being edged in the overtime period en route to their 13th loss of the season. Joel Embiid remained out of the lineup, however, the team boasted a total of 7 double-digit scorers led by Tobias Harris (19) along with Danny Green, who accounted for 6 of the team’s 14 3-pointers. Nonetheless, the 76ers now find themselves in a struggle to hold on to the top spot within their division as the Brooklyn Nets are on the cusp of overtaking this spot.

The 76ers have picked up wins in 4-straight versus the Kings, including 2-straight at home. And while Philadelphia has covered in 2-straight versus Sacramento, the Kings are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings while covering in 3 of the last 5 at Wells Fargo Arena.

Fox leads the way for another Kings’ win

Posting at least 29 points in each of his last 6 games, Fox led his team to their 2nd-straight win over the Celtics dropping them to a game below .500 on the season. The Kings, on the other hand, remain in the cellar of the Pacific division, yet, have picked up wins in 3 of their last 5 outings thanks to huge complimentary performances from Hield along with center Richaun Holmes.

Hield is making a solid 38% of his treys on the year while posting 20 or more in 6 of his last 6 games. On the other hand, Holmes is averaging 21 points per game in his last 5 starts (7 points above his yearly average) in addition to posting double-doubles in 5 of his last 6 outings, overall. Furthermore, Holmes has continued to remain a huge presence on the defensive end for Sacramento racking up a total of 11 blocks in 5 contests.

In fact, the center has provided such a spark on the defensive end versus the Celtics, it was seemingly contagious as the Kings, which are ranked as one of the worst defensive teams in the league, allowed just 96 points on 43% shooting while forcing 14 turnovers. And while Jason Tatum, Kemba Walker, along with Jaylen Brown led the way offensively for Boston, they struggled to find quality looks throughout going a combined 20-54 FG along with 8-18 from deep.

Embiid out until end of March

After a knee injury suffered after a dunk in the team’s blowout home win over the Washington Wizards March 12th, Embiid has not been in the lineup since missing 3 games and is not likely to return until the end of the March. Seth Curry is also questionable for this contest with ankle injury. Nonetheless, Philadelphia needs to get back on the winning track fast as their 1st-place tag in the Atlantic division is now being threatened by the Nets.

However, Harris has continued to lead the team offensively posting 20 or more in 4 of his last 6 starts while averaging 8 rebounds during this time. Ben Simmons, despite having 7 turnovers, posted a triple-double versus the Bucks while recording 2 blocks. Most importantly, Dwight Howard along with Shake Milton has continued to provide some huge performances off the bench for the 76ers in Embiid’s absence with the former recording a 2ndf-straight double-double with 13 points and 15 boards along with a block versus Milwaukee.

Milton, was able to atone for 2 lackluster outings to where he posted just 6 points to finish with 15 on 7-15 shooting while Green was outstanding from deep and has posted an average of 14 points since Embiid went down. Green, however, went just 1-6 FG while missing each of his 3 attempts from long-range in an 8-point road win over the Kings early February while Milton posted 11 on 5-11 shooting. Simmons came only 3 rebounds and 1 assist shy of a triple-double (14 points, 7 rebs, 9 ass) while Harris ended with 22 points and 10 boards as the 76ers shot 48% while nailing 45% of their shots from 3-point range.

The Bottom Line
What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

The Kings have played well in the underdog role as of late.  Furthermore, their offense has been about as dangerous as they come in the NBA as Fox continues to lead the team on a nightly basis on this end of the floor.  And while the 76ers continue to get solid performances from Harris and Simmons along with huge bench play from Milton and Howard, I see the Kings relying on their fast-paced style of play to keep this game interesting.  Again, this strategy has worked in recent meetings as they have covered in 5 of their last 7 versus Philadelphia.

Sacramento Kings +7

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Full-Game Total Pick

The under is 5-0 in the last 5 outings for the Kings, including in all 4 of their last 4 roadies.  On the other hand, it has been the play in 3 of the last 4 for the 76ers (including in 2-straight home games).  Furthermore, it happens to be 4-2 in their last 6 meetings, overall, in addition to being the result in 2 of the last 3 at Wells Fargo Arena.

Under 233.5