Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

The Philadelphia 76ers travel to Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado, for a Tuesday night matchup versus the Denver Nuggets beginning at 9 pm EST. Currently, the Nuggets are favored by 4.5-points, up from 4 at the opening, while the total stands at 221-points, down from 222.

The 76ers halted a 4-game winning streak after falling to the Los Angeles Clippers Saturday night to begin a 3-game road trip. Philadelphia shot over 50% from the floor while hitting 10 treys with Danny Green accounting for the half while Tobias Harris led the way with 29 points, 7 boards, along with 6 dimes. However, their lack of defense was the difference-maker giving up over 50% shooting to the Clippers with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George finishing with 28 and 24 points, respectively. Joel Embiid failed to suit up for the 8th-straight game and is expected to return early next month. And while the 76ers failed to cover as 5.5-point dogs, the team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games.

The Nuggets won their 2nd-straight after dominating a solid Atlanta Hawks team Sunday night as they were able to recover from a lackluster defensive effort after the opening period to outscore the road team 95-67 the remainder of the way to post their 28th win of the season. The offense was on fire nailing 15 3-pointers while making 54% of their shots as each of the starters posted double-digits with Nikola Jokic along with Michael Porter, Jr. each had double-doubles. Important to note that newly-acquired guard Aaron Gordon went 6-9 from the floor for 13 points in his 1st game with the team. Denver covered the number for the 2nd-straight game as 5-point favorites and are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 outings.

Each of these teams has picked up outright wins in 5 of their last 10 meetings; However, Denver is 3-2 SU in their last 5 at Ball Arena. The 76ers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 versus Denver while covering in 4 of their last 5 roadies versus the Nuggets.

76ers seek to get back on track

With their loss to the Clippers, Philadelphia fell to 32-14 on the year and are only a half-game ahead of the surging Brooklyn Nets for 1st-place in the Eastern Conference playoff race. The team continues to be shorthanded with Embiid healing from a knee injury suffered 10 days ago. Despite his absence, however, the team has done well winning 8 of 10 before falling to the Clippers last Saturday night. In fact, were it not for a lackluster 3rd-period to which they were outscored 32-24, the team could have remained undefeated on their current 6-game road trip.

They now seek to recover versus a team that they have dropped 3 of 5 against, including enduring a 12-point home defeat on January 9th, where they also performed less than stellar in the 3rd as the Nuggets broke the game open en route to the win. Important to note that Harris, Embiid, and Ben Simmons did not suit up for this contest. Without them, the team shot 42% from the floor while turning the ball over 16 times. Green missed 13 of 17 shots for 11 points (3 turnovers) while Tyrese Maxey led with 39 points as he was inserted in the starting lineup for Simmons.

Nuggets seek 3rd-straight

Denver has played well on both ends of the court during their current 2-game winning streak averaging 119 points while allowing just 105 during this time. Nonetheless, while they have picked up wins in 3 of their last 4, overall, (7-3 SU in last 10) they are currently in a tie for 5th-place in the Western Conference standings with the Portland Trail Blazers while being 1.5-games behind the Los Angeles Lakers for the 4th spot.

And while Murry and Jokic continue to be the tip of the spear in this team’s success on the year, the Nuggets also possess a dangerous shooter in Porter, Jr. in addition to Gordon, who posted double-digits in his 1st outing in a Denver uniform while averaging just under 15 points per game for the Orlando Magic before his trade. And with 6 of their next 7 games at home, the Nuggets seek to add wins to their record.

Despite posting 17 turnovers, the team was able to shoot 50% from the floor while nailing 12 treys in their earlier matchup versus the 76ers with Jokic coming a rebound shy of a triple-double (15 points, 9 rebounds, 12 assists, 4 TO’s). Murray shot 6-11 FG for 14 points while Porter, Jr. did not suit up for the contest.

The Bottom Line
What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

While the Nuggets have covered the spread in 3 of their last 4 games, they have failed to cover the number in 2 of their last 3 at Ball Arena.  The 76ers are well rested (3 days off) and are a red-hot 9-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games (4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 roadies).  Furthermore, Philadelphia has had tons of success in Denver in recent matchups and despite being without Embiid, the team has been able to have success thanks to the productive play from Simmons and Harris along with solid contributions from their bench.  In all, I like the 76ers and the points in this showdown.

Philadelphia 76ers +4.5

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Full-Game Total Pick

The under is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings between these squads while being the play in 3 of the last 5 meetings in Denver.  The scoring for the 76ers, despite their current winning ways, has fallen off a bit without their big man in the lineup; however, they enter this contest allowing only 112 points in their last 6 outings.  Denver has also done well for themselves on the defensive end giving up just under 110 points.  I like the under for this contest.

Under 221