Image licensed from USA Today Sports
This NBA season has definitely felt different and I’m not talking about COVID-19. This year just hasn’t felt like a typical NBA Season. Many teams just seem like they can’t figure things out. Miami is one of those teams, as they look like a shell of the team they were last season. Toronto, on the other hand, is playing as well as expected, which is just bad. Both of these teams have been super disappointing this season, and this should be a good matchup against two desperate teams.
What Happened to Miami?
Last season Miami Heat was in the NBA Finals; while it was surprising they made it, and they were crushed by the Lakers it is still insane how bad they have played this season. To go from Eastern Conference Champs to starting the season 6-7 is pathetic. Miami has played average on offense, and it is a big reason for their struggles. Miami currently scores 110.31 PPG (18th) while shooting only 37.18% from deep (11th).
Last season this Miami squad was strong defensively. I personally believe that defense is the only reason Miami snuck into The Finals. They have fallen off hard this season on defense. I am honestly concerned that the reigning Eastern Conference Champs will not even make the playoffs this season unless they turn things around soon. Miami currently allows 112.92 PPG (22nd) while allowing 45.17% from the floor (10th).
Toronto Has a lot to Work on
The Toronto Raptors have not been able to figure things out this season. Considering they were NBA champions two seasons ago, it’s surprising to see how poorly they’re playing this season. This poor play has led them to a pathetic 5-9 record. This offense has not been able to find any sort of rhythm this season. If they have any hope of making the playoffs they have to turn things around right now. Currently, The Raptors average 111.14 PPG (14th) while shooting only 44.09% from the floor (25th).
Like their offense, Toronto has been only average on defense. This squad looks like half the team they were two years ago. I would love to see this team turn it around, but they have to figure things out quickly. The Raptors currently allow 110.71 PPG (17th) while allowing 45.27 shooting from the floor (12th).
Found on Covers.com
- Toronto is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games.
- Toronto is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games at home.
- Miami is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto.
- Miami is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against Toronto.
The Bottom Line
What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Let’s be honest, we have the reigning two Eastern Conference champions facing off. What’s sad is the downfall of each of these teams. While each of these teams has faced difficulties this year I know that Miami is strong enough to win this game. Miami is an all-around better team than Toronto, and will not only be able to cover this spread but win this game outright.
Full-Game Total Pick
Both of these teams are average across the board. Both offenses have enough power to send this total over. The defenses of both of these teams have not played well all year. To me, this only means the total will go over. The total has gone under in 7-3 of Heats last 10 games playing on 1 days rest and under in 16-5 of the Raptors last 21 home games. I’m calling this game 113-108 Miami.