Image licensed from USA Today Sports
The Miami Heat will remain at the Barclays Center on Monday night to take on the Brooklyn Nets. These teams just faced off in their last game on Saturday night where the Nets won 128-124. The Heat are 6-9 while the Nets are 10-8 so this game could mean a lot to both teams. Miami has been awful on the road so it’ll be interesting if the second straight matchup gives them any better chances.
The Nets are still trying to gain some chemistry on the fly so it will be interesting to see if that will be the difference-maker in this game. Let’s take a deeper dive into the matchup to decide where we should be placing our wagers.
Center of Attention
The Miami Heat have been relying on center Bam Adebayo to carry the offensive load this season. He is averaging 20.3 points, 8.9 rebounds, 5.5 assists, 0.9 blocks, and 0.4 steals in 32.2 minutes on the court. He is shooting the ball at a great clip with his limited range as he is 61.7 percent from the floor and 85.9 percent from the free-throw line. In his last game against the Nets, Adebayo played 38 minutes and finished with 41 points, five rebounds, nine assists, and a steal. If he can figure out a way to have a similar game in this matchup, he will thrive in this matchup as the Nets struggle against big men.
The Brooklyn Nets have been one of the worst defenses to begin the year as they are giving up 116.8 points per game, which is 27th in the league. In their first game against the Nets, they allowed 128 points on 44-of-82 (53.7 percent) from the floor, 19-of-37 (51.4 percent) from beyond the arc, and 26 free-throw attempts. If they can figure out how to limit the amount of open shots from the field being taken against them, scary hours will be in full effect.
Scary Hours in Brooklyn
The Brooklyn Nets have depended on the offensive production from small forward Kevin Durant this season as he is averaging 31.2 points, 7.2 rebounds, 5.8 assists, 1.4 blocks, and 0.8 steals in 36.2 minutes. He is shooting incredibly well as he is 53.8 percent from the floor, 47.5 percent from beyond the arc, and 86.5 percent from the free-throw line. In his last game against the Heat, Durant played 37 minutes and finished with 31 points, four rebounds, four assists, and a pair of blocks. If he can continue putting up these types of numbers, we might be talking about the next MVP.
The Miami Heat have been ana average defensive team in the league as they are allowing just 113.9 points per game this season, which is tied for 21st in the league. In their last game against the Brooklyn Nets they gave up 124 points on 42-of-89 (47.2 percent) from the floor, 13-of-46 (28.3 percent) from three-point range, and 32 free-throw attempts. If they can cut down on some of the easy baskets, their defense can be even better.
- Brooklyn: 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
- Brooklyn: 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Miami:4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
- Miami: 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games vs a team with a winning home record.
The Bottom Line
What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Miami Heat should be able to cover the spread in this game as they have only lost by four points on Saturday night. Bam Adebayo should have another huge game and if they can get a few stops, they will be able to figure out how to pull off the upset. The Heat cover against teams with a winning home record and the Nets have failed to cover their last four games as a favorite. Go with Miami +7.5 in this game.
Full-Game Total Pick
Let’s talk about the offenses in this game. The Heat are averaging 109.3 points per game while shooting 48.2 percent from the floor and the Nets are averaging 120.3 points per game while shooting 49.3 percent from the floor. These teams both score really well and shoot the ball extremely effective. Go with the over in this game.