Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Monday night NBA basketball closes out the night with LeBron James and the L.A. Lakers making the trip to NorCal to take on Steph Curry and the Golden State Warriors. Los Angeles has an overall record of (25-13) while the Warriors are one game above .500 with a record of (20-19). The Lakers were able to defeat Indianapolis in their first game after the All-Star break by a score of 105-100 Friday night in Los Angeles.

Golden State was routed by the Clippers Thursday night in their first game back from the All-Star break sending the Warriors to a season-worst fourth consecutive loss. However, Golden State held off Utah Sunday afternoon to upset the Jazz 131-119.

The line for this game has the Lakers laying (-2.5) points on the road and the game total is hovering around 222.5 points. This will be the third meeting between these teams this season with each team winning once. Both games were played in Los Angeles.

Lakers Defeat Pacers 105-100

The Los Angeles Lakers were able to defeat Indianapolis in their first game back after the All-Star break as Kyle Kuzma and LeBron James led the Lakers past the Pacers at the Staple Center on Friday. However, Los Angeles will continue to be without Marc Gasol and Anthony Davis. Gasol will miss at least the next two more games as the big man continues to follow the league’s health and safety protocols. Davis will be sidelined at least two more weeks because of tendonitis and a calf strain in his right leg.

In the first game back from the All-Star break, Kyle Kuzma scored 24 points and 15 of those points came in the final quarter against the Pacers. LeBron James contributed 18 points and also had 10 dimes in a game where the Lakers needed a late rally to defeat the Pacers. The Lakers were down by as many as 12 points in the fourth quarter but two 3-pointers by Kuzma on five of eight shots to go with his four fourth quarter rebounds prevented the Pacers from winning at the Staples Center. The Pacers haven’t won at the Staples Center since November of 2015.

The Lakers are currently in third place in the Western Conference standings only chasing Utah by three games. Los Angeles is the more injured team currently coming into Monday’s game in San Francisco. Alex Caruso is out with a concussion and Kostas Antetokounmpo is day to day as well following health and safety protocols. LeBron James is listed as day to day on the injury report, but is expected to play Monday. James leads L.A. with 25.6 points per game and adding 7.9 rebounds per contest. Kuzma over his last ten games is averaging 13 points and 8.3 rebounds per contest.

Curry’s 32 Lift Warriors Over Jazz

The Golden State Warriors snapped their terrible four-game losing streak yesterday when they took down the Western Conference top team in the Utah Jazz 131-119 at home. The Warriors had lost four in a row prior to yesterday’s game with Utah. They lost by 26 to the Clippers and then 22 to the Phoenix Suns and both of those games were much worse for the Warriors than the final score actually represented. Golden State looked like the Warriors of old as they looked very strong on Sunday against the Jazz, but they nearly blew a massive lead as the Jazz cut the score to one point. Warriors held on though 131-119.

Much like the Lakers the Warriors success has been dependent on the performance of the supporting cast. Steph Curry is a potential MVP candidate but if the rest of the roster doesn’t provide any production of their own, then Curry is left carrying the entire load. On Sunday, Andrew Wiggins, James Wiseman and Jordan Poole combined for 62 points to help the Warriors defeat the #1 team in the West. Golden State needs a team effort tonight to get the victory in their back-to-back home set.

Curry leads the Warriors with 29.3 points and 6.2 assists per game. His 32 points and nine assists in Sunday’s game over Utah carried them once again. Curry is hitting 40.6% of his 3-point attempts this season. Andrew Wiggins is scoring 16.9 points and had a stellar 28-point performance against the Jazz. Shooting guard Kelly Oubre Jr. is adding 15.4 points and 5.9 boards. Draymond Green is producing 8.5 assists per game, and 6.2 rebounds per game to go with his 6.1 points per game. Green recorded a triple-double against the Jazz with 11 points, 12 assists, and 12 rebounds.

The Bottom Line
What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Over each teams’ last 10 games the Lakers and Warriors both have four wins and six losses. The Lakers over that stretch have averaged 106.5 points per game while the Warriors have been slightly better at 110.5 points per game. The Lakers are finding ways to be successful without their two big men by continuing to play some of the best defense in the league. The Lakers opponents have averaged 107.1 points over the last ten games while the Warriors have surrendered 115.4 points per game over their last ten. Los Angeles is just 15-18 against the spread as the favorite this season, even though they are 15-7 straight up in those games. However, they are 8-2 ATS when playing on the road in a game with a total north of 220 points. James needs more from his supporting cast than Curry does to win this game Monday, and I believe the Warriors have the better set-up tonight with Curry, Green, and Wiggins. The Lakers have the edge in a few stats for this matchup but they have been wildly inconsistent since the absence of Anthony Davis. I’m taking the home team and the points in this matchup. Take the Warriors.

Prediction:
Warriors +3

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Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

In the first game of the season between these two teams, the score landed at 115-113 with the Lakers losing by two points and the total ending at 228 points. The second game of the season was at the end of February and the final for that game was much less than the first with the Lakers winning 117-91 for a game total of 208 points. For the Los Angeles Lakers, the under is 6-1 over their last 7 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. And for the Warriors, they are 5-0 in their last five games hitting the under when they have to play back-to-back sets. Without a doubt, the Lakers are one of the best, if not the best defense in the NBA with Anthony Davis on the floor. But even without him, the Lakers are still one of the better defenses in the league. The under is the play for me tonight and here is why. Both of these teams Adjusted Defensive Rating according to Dunks and Threes are two of the best in the league. The Lakers only allow 107.3 points per 100 possessions to their opponents which is #1 in the NBA, while the Warriors Adjusted Defensive Rating is 109.1 points every 100 possessions and that is good for 6th overall in the NBA. The under is the hot play in this contest for Monday night.

Prediction:
Under 222.5