Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards

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The Indiana Pacers will travel to the Capital One Arena on Monday evening to take on the Washington Wizards in an Eastern Conference matchup. This will be the first of three matchups between these teams so it will be interesting to see how they feel each other out in this matchup. The Indiana Pacers are ninth in the Eastern Conference with a 21-23 record. They are riding a two-game winning streak after going on the road and defeating the Dallas Mavericks on Friday 109-94. The Washington Wizards are 13th in the Eastern Conference with a 16-28 record. They are coming off a 106-92 win over the Detroit Pistons on Saturday.

These teams are very similar on the offensive side of the floor so it will be interesting to see which team can get some key stops. Let’s take a deeper dive to decide where we should be placing our wagers.

Guard Up

The Indiana Pacers have been dependent on point guard Malcolm Brogdon to carry the offensive load this season. He is averaging 21.4 points, 4.7 rebounds, 5.9 assists, and 1.1 steals in 35.4 minutes on the court. He is shooting the ball well as he is 46.2 percent from the floor, 40.7 percent from deep, and 86.4 percent from the free-throw line. In his last game against the Mavericks, Brogdon played 29 minutes and finished with 22 points, six rebounds, an assist, and a steal. If he can figure out a way to reproduce the same numbers, it will definitely help the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers have been below-average on the defensive side of the ball to begin the year as they are giving up 112.8 points per game, which is 21st in the league. In their last game against the Dallas Mavericks, they allowed 94 points on 39-of-95 (41.1 percent) from the floor, 8-of-35 (22.9 percent) from beyond the arc, and 14 free-throw attempts. If they can figure out how to limit the amount of open three-point shots, they will be in a better spot here.

The Bradley Beal Show

Shooting guard Bradley Beal is leading the league in scoring this season and helping the Washington Wizards be watchable. He is averaging 31.3 points (leads the league), five rebounds, 4.8 assists, 0.4 blocks, and 1.2 steals in 35.5 minutes per game. He is shooting incredibly well as he is 48.5 percent from the floor, 33.8 percent from beyond the arc, and 90.2 percent from the charity stripe. In his last game against the Pistons, Beal played 21 minutes and finished with 17 points, three rebounds, six assists, and two turnovers. He came of the game against Detroit due to a hip injury.

The Washington Wizards are the worst defensive team in the entire league as they are allowing 119.3 points per game. In their last game against the Detroit Pistons, they gave up 92 points on 33-of-85 (38.8 percent) from the field, 10-of-29 (34.5 percent) from beyond the arc, and 19 free-throw attempts. If they can figure out a way to limit the amount of open three-pointers taken against them, they can improve on the defensive side of the floor.

The Bottom Line
What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The adjusted defensive ratings can tell us how we should be feeling. The Pacers are the ninth ranked defense with a 110.9 defensive rating while the Wizards are 25th ranked defense with a 113.7 defensive rating. Free-throw shooting can also make or break a spread as they are free points available. Indiana is 10th in the NBA shooting 78.7 percent from the charity stripe while Washington is 21st in the NBA shooting 76.4 percent from the charity stripe. The Pacers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games while the Wizards are 4-6 ATS in the last 10 games. All in all, go with the Indiana Pacers to cover the spread on the road here.

Prediction:
Indiana -4.5

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Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

The pace is a key number to look at for the total number as the Pacers are 11th with 100 possessions per 48 minutes while the Wizards are the fastest team with 104.2 possessions per 48 minutes. Looking at the game totals from the last five games can also tell us how the teams have been playing in the last couple of weeks. Indiana is averaging 229 total points per game while Washington is averaging 224.4 total points in the same stretch. These offenses are very similar and should be able to push through the OVER in this game.

Prediction:
Over