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The Golden State Warriors will travel to the Moda Center on Wednesday night to take on the Portland Trail Blazers in a Western Conference showdown. This is the third and final game between these two teams as they split the first two games. The Warriors are eighth in the Western Conference with a 19-16 record after losing on the road to the Los Angeles Lakers 117-91 on Sunday. The Trail Blazers are sixth in the Western Conference with a 19-14 record after picking up a 123-111 win over the Charlotte Hornets on Monday.
These teams are very similar on the offensive end of the floor so it will be interesting to see which defense is able to get the key stops down the stretch. Let’s take a deeper dive into the matchup to decide where we should be placing our wagers.
Steph Curry With the Shot
The Golden State Warriors have been depending on the output from their point guard Stephen Curry this season as he is averaging 29.5 points, 5.4 rebounds, 6.4 assists, and 1.3 steals in 34.1 minutes per game. He is right around his career averages shooting the ball as he is 47.8 percent from the floor, 41.3 percent from three-point range, and 93.8 percent from the charity stripe. In his last game against the Lakers, Curry played 26 minutes and finished with 16 points, four rebounds, seven assists, three steals, and three turnovers. If he can figure out how to replicate this performance against one of the better teams in the Western Conference, he should be hearing his name in the MVP discussion soon.
The Golden State Warriors are a below-average defensive team as they are giving up 112.8 points per game so far this season, which is 20th in the league. In their last game against the Los Angeles Lakers, they allowed 117 points on 40-of-85 (47.1 percent) from the floor, 11-of-31 (35.5 percent) from beyond the arc, and 38 free-throw attempts. Golden State needs to figure out how to defend without fouling, they will be in a better spot here.
With the injuries presenting itself, point guard Damian Lillard has been carrying the Portland Trail Blazers this season. He is averaging 29.6 points, 4.3 rebounds, 8.1 assists, and a steal in 35.9 minutes per game. He is shooting well as he is 44.5 percent from the floor, 38 percent from beyond the arc, and 93.2 percent from the free-throw line. In his last game against the Hornets, Lillard played 35 minutes and finished with 23 points, four rebounds, 10 assists, three steals, and three turnovers. If he can repeat this play with the turnovers being cut out, it will definitely help Portland get going offensively.
WE DID IT, JOE!
— Portland Trail Blazers (@trailblazers) March 3, 2021
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the worst defenses to begin the year as they are giving up 115.1 points per game, which is 25th in the league. In their last game against the Charlotte Hornets, they allowed 111 points on 43-of-88 (48.9 percent) from the floor, 15-of-34 (44.1 percent) from beyond the arc, and 17 free-throw attempts. If they can figure out how to stop easy looks at the rim, they should be alright here.
- Portland: Trail Blazers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
- Portland: Trail Blazers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Golden State: Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.
The Bottom Line
What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Free-throw shooting can be the difference maker between covering or not. The Warriors are 14th in the league with a 78.4 percent shot while the Trail Blazers are fourth with an 81.9 percent shot from the charity stripe. The adjusted offensive rating tells you how efficient these offenses are. Golden State is 22nd in the league with a 110.1 offensive rating while Portland is seventh in the league with a 116 offensive rating. The Warriors are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games while the Trail Blazers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. All in all, go with the Portland Trail Blazers to cover the spread at home in this upcoming game.
Want another opinion on this pick?
Full-Game Total Pick
These offenses have been doing well compared to the rest of the NBA as Golden State is 12th in the league scoring 114 points per game while Portland is ninth scoring 114.4 points per game. Looking at the totals in the last five games, it tells you how each team is playing on both sides of the floor. The Warriors are averaging 219.8 total points in their last five games while the Trail Blazers are averaging 221.4 total points in the same span. These teams are average-to-below-average in terms of allowing teams to shoot from distance against them. Golden State is allowing the 19th-highest three-point percentage at 37.3 while Portland is 16th in the league allowing 36.9 percent from distance. The numbers all point towards the OVER being the better play.