Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Last night, the Memphis Grizzlies (18-20) let a golden opportunity slip through their hands as they played a Golden State Warriors (22-20) team missing Steph Curry and playing with a limited Kelly Oubre. The Warriors got 40 points from Andrew Wiggins in the 116-103 win over the Grizzlies, who were six point favorites in the game. Wiggins nailed six of his 11 three point attempts, and added eight rebounds, four assists, and four steals to lead Golden State. Jordan Poole chipped in 25 points, going 10 of 15 from the field. Damion Lee (21 points) came off the bench to knock down four threes.

For Memphis, who have lost four of five since the All-Star Break, Ja Morant and Grayson Allen each scored 14 points, while Jonas Valunciunas scored 10 points and grabbed 16 rebounds. The Grizzlies hit just eight of their 30 three point attempts, and turned the ball over 20 times.

On the injury front, Eric Paschall and James Wiseman are still both out because of health protocols. Kelly Oubre, who played last night, is day-to-day with a sore foot. Curry, who sat out last night, is expected back in the lineup. The Grizzlies are fully healthy other than Jaren Jackson, who is out for a few more weeks with a knee injury.

Warriors Go For Sweep Against Memphis

The Warriors won last night despite being without leading scorer Steph Curry (29.0 ppg, 5.3 rpg, and 6.2 apg), who bruised his tailbone in the win over Houston. Andrew Wiggins picked up the slack, and now Curry is expected to return to the lineup in tonight’s game. Tonight, the Warriors can gain another game of separation with the Grizzlies as they look to make their playoff push.

Andrew Wiggins has been really big lately, and has averaged 17.2 ppg and 4.5 rpg, for the bulk of the scoring. Draymond Green was held without a field goal last night, but recorded his third triple double of the season in the previous game against Houston.

Offensively, the Warriors are 13th in the NBA in effective field goal percentage (54.2%), 23rd in turnover percentage (13.2%), 30th in offensive rebounding percentage (17.4%), and 15th in free throws per field goal attempts (.191). Defensively, Golden State is fifth in opponent’s effective field goal percentage (52.0%), eighth in opponent turnover percentage (13.5%), 25th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.2%), and 29th in opponent’s free throws per field goal attempts (.228).

Grizzlies Look to Rebound From Friday Night’s Loss

Memphis wasted a great opportunity against Golden State, and once again it was due to lack of offense. Since the All-Star Break, the Grizzlies have averaged just 103 points per game. The problem has been at the three point line on both ends of the floor. Memphis has struggled to defend the arc, and they have gone stone cold on the offensive end. Leading scorer Ja Morant is shooting three pointers 10 percentage points under his mark from last year, and Dillon Brooks has hit 5-of-22 over the past four games. Those numbers won’t cut it if Memphis is going to make the playoffs.

Ja Morant leads a balanced Grizzlies offense with 19.4 ppg, 3.3 rpg, and 7.6 apg. Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 15.9 ppg and 11.9 rpg. Dillon Brooks has averaged 15.7 ppg and 2.9 rpg, while Kyle Anderson has added 12.9 ppg, 5.9 rpg, and 3.3 apg. As a team, the Grizzlies have an effective field goal percentage of 52.0%, 23rd in the league. Memphis is fourth in the league in turnover percentage (11.9%), eighth in offensive rebounding percentage (23.9%) and 26th in free throws per field goal attempts (.174).

Defensively, the Grizzlies are 22nd in the NBA in opponent’s effective field goal percentage (54.6%), first in opponent turnover percentage (14.7%), sixth in defensive rebound percentage (79.4%), and 18th in opponent free throws per field goal attempts (.200).

The Bottom Line
What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

With Curry returning to the lineup, and last night’s 13 point victory, the Golden State Warriors should be favorites in this game. The question is how big of a favorite Dub City will be. I’m thinking right now that Golden State has a legit chance of covering at 5.5 points or less, but would be leery of anything over 6.0 points. So I’m taking Golden State if the spread is 5.5 or less, and Memphis to cover on anything over six points.

Golden State

Want another opinion on this pick?


Full-Game Total Pick

Until Memphis finds some offense, it’s hard to take an OVER bet in any game they are involved in. Of course, it takes just one game to get going, but recent history suggests that won’t be the case tonight. Curry returns to the lineup, which does help Golden State’s offense. Unfortunately, until three point makes return to the Memphis lineup, the total pick will always be UNDER.