Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

The Minnesota Timberwolves host the Dallas Mavericks at the Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota, in a Wednesday night NBA showdown that begins at 8 pm EST. The Mavericks are currently favored by 8-points while the total stands at 230-points, up from 229 at the opening.

The Mavericks have won 2 of their last 3 after atoning for a 6-point road loss to the Portland Trail Blazers on March 19th by taking out the Trail Blazers in the finale of their 2-game set by 40-points just 2 nights later. The team blew the game open in the 2nd and 3rd periods while Luka Doncic destroyed Portland from the perimeter accounting for 8 of the team’s 19 treys to post 37 points. Josh Richardson, despite 5 turnovers, went 8 of 11 from the floor for 21 points as the Mavericks won their 22nd game of the season. Furthermore, Dallas was able to cover as 2-point favorites and are 6-4 in their last 10 outings.

The Timberwolves, on the other hand, continue to reel as they are losers of 3 of their last 4 games (2-straight) as they fell by 9-points at home versus the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last outing Monday night. And while the team shot just 41% from the field in the contest, they were able to nail 14 3-pointers with Karl Anthony-Towns leading the way with 5 to lead the Timberwolves with 33 points and 10 boards, his 2nd 30+ point night in 3 outings. The loss was Minnesota’s 33rd of the year while they failed to cover as 5-point favorites, bringing their record to 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games.

The Mavericks seek their 5th-straight win over Minnesota in this matchup, including their 3rd-straight at the Target Center. The Mavericks have dominated the spread in this series as well going 7-3 in their last 10 in addition to covering in all 3 of their last roadies versus the Timberwolves.

Doncic continues his tear

Fresh off a 38-point night in game 1 of their 2-game series versus Portland, Doncic posted another 37 in the finale Sunday night going 13-19 from the floor while missing just one of his attempts from long-range. The forward is averaging just under 40 points in his last 3 outings and has the Mavericks just a half-game behind the San Antonio Spurs for 1st in the Southwest division. However, Dallas must continue to win games as the Memphis Grizzlies are directly on their heels for 2nd-place (1.5-games behind).

This means that the Mavericks must continue the dominance over Minnesota as they have shown in recent outings. In fact, the team picked up a 5-point home win versus the Timberwolves early last month. However, it should be mentioned that the Mavericks went up by 21-points at the end of the first period only to be outscored in the remaining 3 quarters and fight off a late rally.

Doncic, despite posting 26, went just 9-22 FG while missing 6 of 7 from deep while Kristaps Porzingis, who is coming off a 3-7 shooting night to post 12 versus the Trail Blazers, led the way with 27 points and 13 boards on an efficient shooting night. Tim Hardaway, Jr. also shined off the bench with 24 points as he and Porzingis each had 4 treys as the Mavericks made 12 three’s while shooting 52%.

Timberwolves seek to end skid

Minnesota has picked up losses in 7 of their last 10 matchups, including 2-straight after dropping a roadie versus the Thunder Monday night. Their defense has struggled throughout the season ranking as one of the worst in the league; however, their offense (or lack thereof) is what continues to kill their chances of winning on a consistent basis. Point guard D’Angelo Russell has not played since February 8th and is not due back from a leg injury until early April while Malik Beasely is currently serving a suspension and will be eligible to suit up this weekend after an off-the-court incident.

In their place, Anthony Edwards and Ricky Rubio has stepped up at times with Edwards posting 20 or more in 7 of his last 10 games while Rubio has posted 3 double-doubles in his last 4 outings. However, the duo is shooting 40% or less from the floor and is making even less of their jumpers from long-range. In fact, Edwards and Rubio combined to shot 10-26 from the floor in their loss to the Thunder along with connecting on just 3 of 12 attempts from long-distance.

Despite this, Anthony-Towns continues to keep the team competitive as he is not only shooting a tad over 50% on the year while stretching defenses due to his ability to shoot the long-ball (39%). The center did not suit up in the team’s last matchup versus Dallas last month; However, Edwards led the way with 22 points on 8-19 FG while going 3-8 from deep. Rubio came off the bench to post just 9 points on 3-9 shooting as the Timberwolves had a decent night from the floor making 46% of their shots along with 18 3-pointers.

The Bottom Line
What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Mavericks not only covered in 2 of their last 3 roadies but are also undefeated against the number in their last 3 matchups versus Minnesota at the Target Center.  Despite Anthony-Towns putting up some big numbers, the Timberwolves remain shorthanded with a couple of critical pieces being out of the lineup at this time.  On the other hand, Dallas needs to continue to win games as they have their eyes set on the top spot in the division.  In all, look for the road team to pull away at some point and cover the number.

Prediction:
Dallas Mavericks -8

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Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Minnesota has played very shaky on the defensive end all season while the Mavericks have not been very consistent either.  Besides, the over has been the play in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these 2 squads and I see a high-scoring affair in this contest (in favor of the Mavericks).  Important to add that the over is 6-0 in Dallas’ last 6 road games versus a team with a losing record.

Prediction:
Over 230-