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The Charlotte Hornets are traveling to the Golden 1 Center on Sunday night to take on the Sacramento Kings in an interconference matchup. This is the first of two games that these franchises will play against one another this season. The Hornets are eighth in the Eastern Conference with a 15-17 record after losing a road game to the Golden State Warriors 130-121 on Friday. The Kings are 13th in the Western Conference with a 13-20 record and are coming off a 110-107 road victory over the Detroit Pistons on Friday.
These teams are producing similar numbers on the offensive side of the floor so it will be interesting to see which franchise is able to take advantage on defense in order to figure out where we should be placing our wagers.
Carry On My Hayward Son
The Charlotte Hornets have been dependent on small forward Gordon Hayward to carry the offensive load this season. He is averaging 21.5 points, 5.4 rebounds, 3.7 assists, 0.4 blocks, and 1.2 steals in 34.9 minutes on the court. He is shooting the ball well as he is 48.5 percent from the floor, 42.1 percent from beyond the arc, and 86 percent from the charity stripe. In his last game against the Warriors, Hayward played 34 minutes and finished with 12 points, two rebounds, five assists, and a pair of steals. If he can shoot more efficiently in this game, they will be in a better spot.
The Charlotte Hornets have been a below-average defense to begin the year as they are giving up just 112.8 points per game, which is tied for 20th in the league. In their last game against the Golden State Warriors, they allowed 130 points on 48-of-79 (60.8 percent) from the floor, 11-of-24 (45.8 percent) from beyond the arc, and 25 free-throw attempts. If they can figure out how to defend a whole lot better here, it will help the Hornets out tremendously.
Swipa the Fox
Point guard De’Aaron Fox has been one of the best young players in the league. He is averaging 22.8 points, 3.3 rebounds, 7.2 assists, 0.5 blocks, and 1.2 steals in 33.8 minutes on the court. He is shooting the ball well as he is 46.7 percent from the floor, 34.5 percent from deep, and 68.4 percent from the free-throw line. In his last game against the Pistons, Fox played 38 minutes and finished with 27 points, five rebounds, six assists, a steal, and two blocks. If he can replicate this performance, the Kings will be in a great spot.
“We see you 𝙔𝙊𝙐𝙉𝙂 𝙁𝙀𝙇𝙇𝘼!”
— Sacramento Kings (@SacramentoKings) February 27, 2021
The Sacramento Kings have been the worst defenses in the league at this point as they are giving up 120.1 points per game, which is 30th in the league. In their last game against the Detroit Pistons, they allowed 107 points on 37-of-82 (45.1 percent) from the floor, 12-of-33 (36.4 percent) from beyond the arc, and shot 32 free-throws. If the Kings can figure out how to defend without fouling, they will be in a better spot defensively.
- Sacramento: Kings are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Sacramento: Kings are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Charlotte: Hornets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Charlotte: Hornets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
The Bottom Line
What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The adjusted defensive rating is important to see how many points you should expect against each team every 100 possessions. The Hornets are 19th in the NBA with a 112.7 rating while the Kings are last in the league with a 118 rating. Three-point shooting is becoming even more prevalent in this era of basketball as Charlotte is seventh in the league with a 38.2 team three-point percentage while Sacramento is 17th in the league with a 36.3 three-point percentage. The Hornets are 5-4 ATS in their last nine games while the Kings are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games. The numbers and trends are all telling us to go with the Charlotte Hornets to cover the spread on the road against the Sacramento Kings here.
Want another opinion on this pick?
Full-Game Total Pick
Looking at the totals in each team’s last five games will tell you a lot about each team with how they’re offense and defense has been lately. Charlotte is averaging 232.4 total points in their last five games while Sacramento is averaging 240.4 total points in that same span. They are shooting the ball well from the floor as the Hornets are tied for 18th in the league at 46 percent from the field while the Kings are ninth in the league with a 47.5 field goal percentage. The over has hit in seven of the last 10 Charlotte games while it also hit in eight of the last nine games for Sacramento. All in all, go with the OVER in this game.