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The Brooklyn Nets will travel to the Amway Center to take on the Orlando Magic in an Eastern Conference matchup. This will be the final time these teams will face off in the regular season as the Nets won both games so far this year. The Brooklyn Nets are tied for first in the Eastern Conference with a 28-13 record. They are on a six-game winning streak after going on the road and defeating the Indiana Pacers on Wednesday 124-115. The Orlando Magic are 14th in the Eastern Conference with a 13-26 record. The Magic are on the second half of a back-to-back as they played in New York against the Knicks on Thursday.
These teams are similar on the defensive end so it will be interesting to see which team can figure out how to get a few key stops down the stretch. Let’s take a deeper dive into the matchup to decide where we should be placing our wagers.
MVP Case Solidifying
The Brooklyn Nets have been relying on point guard James Harden to help carry the offensive load this season. He is averaging 25.5 points, 8.2 rebounds, 11.2 assists, 0.8 blocks, and 1.2 steals in 38 minutes on the court. He can be a part of the 50/40/90 club as he is 47.6 percent from the floor, 37.1 percent from beyond the arc, and 87.4 percent from the charity stripe. In his last game against the Pacers, Harden played 42 minutes and finished with 40 points, 10 rebounds, 15 assists, and a pair of steals. He was the only member of the “Big Three” to play so if he can continue this play, it will be difficult to knock these Nets off.
The Brooklyn Nets are a bad defensive team this season as they are giving up 115.3 points per game, which is 25th in the NBA. In their last game against the Indiana Pacers, they allowed 115 points on 43-of-84 (51.2 percent) from the field, 9-of-32 (28.1 percent) from deep, and 25 free-throw attempts. If the Nets can defend without fouling in this game, they will be in great shape.
Center of the Offense
The Orlando Magic have been dependent on center Nikola Vucevic to carry the offensive load this season. He is averaging 25 points, 11.6 rebounds, 3.7 assists, 0.6 blocks, and a steal in 33.9 minutes on the court. He is shooting the ball well as he is 49 percent from the floor, 41.6 percent from beyond the arc, and 84.8 percent from the free-throw line. In his last game against the Heat, Vucevic played 38 minutes and finished with 38 points, 10 rebounds, six assists, two steals, and seven turnovers. If he can figure out how to cut down on the sloppy play, the Magic will be in a better position here.
— Orlando Magic (@OrlandoMagic) March 19, 2021
The Orlando Magic have been an average defense to begin the year as they are giving up just 111.7 points per game, which is 14th in the league. In their last game against the Miami Heat, they allowed 102 points on 37-of-89 (41.6 percent) from the floor, 14-of-50 (28 percent) from beyond the arc, and 21 free-throw attempts. If they can figure out how to limit the amount of open shots from three being taken against them, they can take the next step as a team.
Found on Covers.com
- Orlando: Magic are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Orlando: Magic are 7-19-2 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Brooklyn: Nets are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Brooklyn: Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
The Bottom Line
What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The adjusted offensive ratings can tell us a lot about what to expect from these offenses. The Nets are first in the league with a 119.1 offensive rating while the Magic are 29th in the league with a 105.1 offensive rating. Three-point shooting is another excellent number to look at since the league has evolved into a lot of threes taken throughout the game. Brooklyn is second in the NBA shooting 40.4 percent from deep while Orlando is tied for 21st in the NBA with a 35.5 percent three-point shot. The Brooklyn Nets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games while the Orlando Magic are 3-4-1 ATS in their last eight games. Expect this to be a blowout game for Brooklyn so go with the Nets to cover the spread on the road in this game.
Want another opinion on this pick?
Full-Game Total Pick
The adjusted defensive ratings aren’t good this season, which means they give up a lot of points per 100 possessions. The Nets are 27th in the league with a 114.5 defensive rating while the Magic are 24th in the league with a 114.1 defensive rating. The totals from their last five games can also give us a good indication of how these teams are operating. Brooklyn is averaging 227.8 total points in the last five games while Orlando is averaging 215 total points in their last five games played. The over has hit in the last two Nets games while it also hit in four of the last six Magic games. All in all, the OVER seems to be the better play in this game.